Tree-Rings, Forests, and the Climate Crisis

Goals

In this VIP, we aim to better quantify and predict the feedback between forests and climate. Forests are affected by climate variability and change. At the same time, forests play an important role in the global carbon cycle and have been slowing global warming by removing the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide from the atmosphere (via photosynthesis).

Tree rings are a powerful way to quantify both sides of this feedback between forests and climate, so we work to create and analyze spatial networks of tree-ring data, especially in collaboration with the US Forest Service. By integrating tree-ring and forest inventory data, we can better understand and predict future tree growth, using an approach known as ecological forecasting. Ultimately, our goal is to advance the science underlying “nature-based climate solutions” (NbCS), specifically NbCS relying on forests of the United States and beyond.

Issues Involved or Addressed

Our 2023-2024 Focus Area is Building a western U. S. tree-ring network sourced in the U. S. national forest inventory

Forests provide humanity with numerous ecosystem services and benefits. They provide drinking water and help maintain clean air, provide habitat for wildlife, and draw down atmospheric carbon dioxide via photosynthesis. The last of these has drawn recent attention to forests as a “nature-based climate solution”, which would attempt to limit climate warming by enhancing the carbon sink strength of forest ecosystems. But there is great scientific uncertainty about how forests will respond to stresses associated with climate change and other global change factors, including the impact of drought stress on tree growth.

Our work in the Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research leverages the annual-resolution information on tree growth encoded in tree rings to better quantify the impact of climate variability and change on carbon sequestration by forests. Ongoing projects focus on forest carbon dynamics in the state of Arizona, across the interior western U. S., and in the temperate rain forests and temperate coniferous forests of the west coast of the U. S.

Our work supports forest-based climate mitigation at a national scale, i.e., meeting emissions reductions targets the U. S. established via the Paris Climate Agreement. We collaborate with the U.S. Forest Service and other forest management entities to improve measurement, reporting, and verification of forest carbon dynamics, and facilitate forest management aimed at climate resilience.

Methods and Tech

Tree-ring specific methods

  • Tree increment core sample preparation
  • Traditional dendrochronological techniques of cross-dating and measuring the width of growth rings to generate time series data.
  • Forest inventory and Tree-ring data analysis (e.g. computing the climate sensitivity of tree growth, calculating carbon from tree-ring data, etc.)

Broader methods and technology

  • Computer programming (R coding language)
  • Data visualization
  • Science communication in the Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research with outreach groups on a regular basis
  • Statistical analysis and modeling, including linear regression, dynamic linear modeling, and population models

Academic Majors of Interest

  • Ecology and Evolutionary Biology
  • Environmental Sciences
  • Geography
  • Geosciences
  • Natural Resources
  • Plant Sciences
  • Statistics and Data Science

Preferred Interests and Preparation

  • Basic understanding of and interest in ecology/forestry/natural resources
  • Comfortable working with machines (belt sander, small rotary saw)
  • Detail-oriented
  • Openness to learning new techniques
  • Self-motivated and curious

Application Process

This team is currently full for Spring 2024. To express interest in this team, please complete the VIP Interest Form and select "Tree-Rings, Forests, and the Climate Crisis".

Team Advisor