Margaret Evans’ Tree‑Ring Research Shows a Warmer, Drier Arizona
What looks like prolonged drought may actually be something more permanent in the Southwest, a shift toward a drier baseline driven by rising temperatures. Even when rain and snow return, the landscape holds less water than it once did.
Trees experience drought stress. Rivers produce less water. Forests grow unhealthy and vulnerable to wildfire. Native species suffer as the landscape shifts. Snowpack shrinks. And the past stops working as an indicator of the future.
“The big difference between the droughts we’re seeing now compared to the droughts we saw in the 1900s, these are warmer droughts,” said Margaret Evans, a dendrochronologist at the University of Arizona’s Laboratory of TreeRing Research.
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